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Likelier
Government report CDC National Center for Health Statistics

U.S. Births Increase by 1% in 2024

Cited in 2 Likelier entries (2 risks, 0 decisions).

Used in 2 entries

For each citing entry, the verbatim excerpt and Likelier's calculation notes (how the source's number was converted to the lifetime-probability framing) are shown below. Click through to read the full claim ledger.

  1. Statistic
    US preterm birth rate was 10.41% in 2024 (births before 37 weeks)
    “The preterm birth rate was unchanged at 10.41%.”
    Calculation notes
    Supplies the all-cause US preterm baseline (0.1041) used to convert every relative effect into an absolute heat-attributable excess. Without this denominator the meta-analysis ORs cannot be turned into a per-pregnancy probability.

    Independence note: Official US vital-statistics surveillance; independent of the epidemiological studies.

    Source date: 2025-04-23 · Accessed: 2026-06-13

  2. Statistic
    Provisional total US births in 2024: 3,622,673.
    “the number of births increased by 1% from 2023, with 3,622,673 births recorded in 2024.”
    Calculation notes
    Supplies the annual live-birth denominator used to convert CDC infant botulism case counts into an all-cause per-infant baseline rate (e.g. 152/3,622,673 ~ 4.2 per 100,000). Used only for the context baseline; the formula-attributable rate has no defensible denominator and is left as no_reliable_estimate.

    Source date: 2025-04-23 · Accessed: 2026-06-13

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