Insect Sting Anaphylaxis
Cited in 2 Likelier entries (2 risks, 0 decisions).
Used in 2 entries
For each citing entry, the verbatim excerpt and Likelier's calculation notes (how the source's number was converted to the lifetime-probability framing) are shown below. Click through to read the full claim ledger.
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- Statistic
Systemic allergic reactions reported by up to 3% of US adults; ≥50 fatal sting reactions per year; ~half of fatal reactions occur with no prior history
“"Systemic allergic reactions are reported by up to 3% of adults, and almost 1% of children have a medical history of severe sting reactions … At least 50 fatal sting reactions occur each year in the United States … Half of all fatal reactions occur with no history of previous sting reactions."”
Calculation notes
Primary source for the 3% lifetime systemic reaction prevalence. The normalized value of 0.02 uses the ~2/3 severe-within-systemic fraction (Grade III–IV, epi-requiring) to arrive at a ~2% lifetime probability.
Independence note: Draws from clinical allergy and venom-IgE serology literature, independent of death-certificate or NEISS ED-visit data streams.
Source date: 2007-05-01 · Accessed: 2026-05-04
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- Statistic
≥50 fatal sting reactions per year in the US; ~3% of adults report systemic allergic reactions to stings
“"Systemic allergic reactions are reported by up to 3% of adults, and almost 1% of children have a medical history of severe sting reactions … At least 50 fatal sting reactions occur each year in the United States … Half of all fatal reactions occur with no history of previous sting reactions."”
Calculation notes
Used as an independent allergy-epidemiology corroboration of the order of magnitude (50+ deaths per year) and as the source for the heterogeneity story: roughly half of fatal sting reactions occur in people with no prior history of systemic reaction, which means “I’m not allergic” is a weaker filter on personal risk than most readers assume.
Independence note: Methodologically independent of NCHS death-certificate counts: Golden’s review draws from clinical allergy literature and venom-IgE serology studies rather than ICD-10 death codes.
Source date: 2007-05-01 · Accessed: 2026-04-11
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