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Peer-reviewed Grant BF et al. — JAMA Psychiatry, 2015

Epidemiology of DSM-5 Alcohol Use Disorder: Results From the National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions III

Cited in 2 Likelier entries (2 risks, 0 decisions).

Original source ↗ Wayback archive ↗

Used in 2 entries

For each citing entry, the verbatim excerpt and Likelier's calculation notes (how the source's number was converted to the lifetime-probability framing) are shown below. Click through to read the full claim ledger.

  1. [1] Alcohol use disorder Risk
    Statistic
    12-month and lifetime prevalences of DSM-5 AUD among US adults were 13.9% and 29.1%, respectively (NESARC-III, N=36,309)
    “"In 2012-2013, US prevalences of DSM-5 12-month and lifetime AUD among adults 18 years and older were 13.9% and 29.1%, respectively. Prevalence was generally highest for men (17.6% and 36.0%, respectively), White and Native American respondents, and younger and never-married adults."”
    Calculation notes 
    The 29.1% lifetime prevalence is used directly as the native numerator (29.1 per 100 US adults). This is the primary calculation input. The study used DSM-5 diagnostic criteria applied via the AUDADIS-5 structured interview, making it the definitive DSM-5 AUD prevalence estimate for the US adult population.

    Independence note: NESARC-III was conducted by the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA) using probability sampling of the US non-institutionalized civilian population. It is methodologically independent from SAMHSA NSDUH, which uses self-report questionnaires rather than structured diagnostic interviews.

    Source date: 2015-08-01 · Accessed: 2026-05-04

  2. [2] Inheriting AUD risk Risk
    Statistic
    Lifetime prevalence of DSM-5 alcohol use disorder among US adults: 29.1% overall; 12-month prevalence 13.9% (NESARC-III, N=36,309)
    “"In 2012-2013, US prevalences of DSM-5 12-month and lifetime AUD among adults 18 years and older were 13.9% and 29.1%, respectively. Prevalence was generally highest for men (17.6% and 36.0%, respectively), White and Native American respondents, and younger and never-married adults."”
    Calculation notes 
    Used as the US adult general-population reference for context. The coincidence between NESARC-III lifetime DSM-5 AUD (29.1%) and the COGA first-degree-relative DSM-IV alcohol-dependence figure (28.8%) is a methodological artifact, not a finding: DSM-5 AUD has a much broader definition than DSM-IV alcohol dependence, so the absolute numbers happen to land near each other despite measuring different things in different populations. The clean apples-to-apples comparison is COGA relatives 28.8% vs COGA controls 14.4%, both DSM-IV alcohol dependence, both SSAGA instrument — that is where the 2x elevation comes from.

    Independence note: NESARC-III was conducted by the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA) using probability sampling of the US non-institutionalized civilian population and the AUDADIS-5 structured diagnostic interview. Methodologically independent from COGA (which is a treatment-ascertained family study) and from the heritability meta-analysis.

    Source date: 2015-08-01 · Accessed: 2026-05-28

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